Economic Updates
Keep up to date on the global economy and its impact on markets.
Rally losing steam, but risk signals remain muted
Q2 2019 | Capital Markets Outlook
While the inverted yield curve has caused concern, we continue to see potential upside for risk assets.
Q1 2019 | Fixed Income Outlook
The outlook for global growth in 2019 has slipped because of rising real interest rates, trade tensions, and asset market volatility.
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Q2 2019 | Equity Outlook
Equity investors may be overlooking a key risk in the current economic environment.
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Economic Update for April 15, 2019
Economy
- Both import and export prices rose in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics stated.
- The CPI increased 0.4% and core CPI rose 0.1% in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics noted.
- The Census Bureau reported that factory orders fell 0.5% in February.
Employment
- Initial jobless claims fell by 8,000 to 196,000 in the week ended April 6, 2019, according to the Department of Labor.
Profits
- As of April 5, 2019, the estimated earnings decline for the first quarter for the S&P 500 Index is -4.2%, according to FactSet.
Emotion
- The University of Michigan’s preliminary index of consumer sentiment fell to 96.9 in April from 98.4 in March.
- The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index improved in March.