Capital Markets Outlook | Q1 2023
Asset allocations: Be cautious with risk assets as rate increases continue.
Change from previous quarter
|U.S. large cap|
|U.S. small cap|
|Non-U.S. developed country|
|Investment grade / High yield / Floating rate|
|Residential mortgage credit|
|Commercial mortgage credit|
Currency viewsU.S. dollar versus
|Favor other||Neutral||Favor dollar|
Equities to remain under pressure
Investors should exercise caution with equities, but also be aware of the potential for a bear market rally as in early Q3.
Highly selective in fixed income
Caution is warranted for high-yield bonds and other areas of corporate credit, while securitized sectors offer more attractive opportunities.
Commodities could benefit from energy rally
In energy markets, inventory levels of distillates remain tight and production may be constrained in the near term.
Slow your (pay)roll
January 12, 2023 | Capital Markets Outlook
We believe markets expect inflation to decline sooner than it will, and that there is limited upside for stocks.More »