Global market trends

Index name (returns in US#) Q4 18 12 months ended 12/31/18
Equity indexes
Dow Jones Industrial Average -11.31% -3.48%
MSCI EAFE (ND) -12.54 -13.79
MSCI Emerging Markets (ND) -7.47 -14.58
MSCI Europe (ND) -12.72 -14.86
MSCI World (ND) -13.42 -8.71
Nasdaq -16.76 0.04
Russell 1000 -13.82 -4.78
Russell 2000 -20.20 -11.01
Russell 3000 Growth -16.33 -2.12
Russell 3000 Value -12.24 -8.58
S&P 500 -13.52 -4.38
Tokyo Topix -15.24 -14.28
Fixed income indexes
BB Government Bond* 2.54 0.88
BB MBS* 2.08 0.99
BB U.S. Aggregate Bond* 1.64 0.01
ICE BofA ML U.S. 3-month T-bill 0.56 1.87
CG World Government Bond ex-U.S. 1.31 -1.82
JPMorgan Developed High Yield -4.65 -2.36
JPMorgan Emerging Markets Global Diversified -1.26 -4.26
JPMorgan Global High Yield -3.95 -2.37
S&P LSTA Loan -3.42 0.47
Commodities
S&P GSCI -22.94 -13.82

*BB is an abbreviation for Bloomberg Barclays.

Indexes are unmanaged and do not incur expenses. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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We see a mid-cycle slowdown, but upside on the horizon

January 16, 2019  |  Capital Markets Outlook

As the S&P 500 Index teetered on the verge of a bear market at year-end, we fielded numerous questions about the prospects for an impending recession.

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