Putnam Perspectives

Explore research driven analysis of evolving market themes.


The broader meaning of a better earnings harvest

The broader meaning of a better earnings harvest

We believe the earnings recession in 2015 and the first half of 2016 marked the beginning of a new earnings cycle.

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Sustainable investing: Assessing the choices

Sustainable investing: Assessing the choices

Sustainable investing is growing in popularity, and investors should be thoughtful about choosing from a range of strategies and portfolios.

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Interest-rate risk is elevated

Interest-rate risk is elevated

Gains in employment may herald greater rate risk, giving investors reason to consider income opportunities outside of traditional bond benchmarks.

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Are international stocks truly cheap?

Are international stocks truly cheap?

On the surface, U.S. stocks appear more expensive than international stocks, but a quantitative comparison reveals the impact of sector valuations.

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Why we feel recession talk is premature

Why we feel recession talk is premature

The yield curve and Leading Economic Indicators are two effective recession indicators that offer insights on potential opportunities and risks ahead.

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The value opportunity

The value opportunity

If earnings grow as expected, value stocks may have an edge over growth stocks in 2018.

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Munis feel knock-on effects of tax reform

Munis feel knock-on effects of tax reform

The municipal bond market will likely see a reduction in supply in 2018 because of certain provisions in the new tax reform law.

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Market sectors that might lead in 2018

Market sectors that might lead in 2018

Technology’s strength seems set to continue, but with the prospect of rising rates, financials may also be among the leading market sectors.

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Just how cheap are European equities?

Just how cheap are European equities?

Our analysis finds that industry group weightings play a significant role in valuation discrepancies between U.S. and European equities.

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What could disturb unprecedented calm in markets?

What could disturb unprecedented calm in markets?

What’s most remarkable about 2017 is the market calm, but this is not a sign that the trend will revert to the mean.

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Looking for impact in CEO compensation

Looking for impact in CEO compensation

It’s important for investors to be able to understand how a company’s performance relates to CEO compensation.

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Longevity and medical costs – education for the great unknowns

Longevity and medical costs – education for the great unknowns

Understanding the impact of longevity and medical costs on savings requires education and a proactive approach to saving.

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Why a meaningful near-term market correction is unlikely

Why a meaningful near-term market correction is unlikely

2017 is a rare year without a stock market correction of at least 5%, but that doesn't make a correction more likely in the fourth quarter.

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How the Japan election may influence global interest rates

How the Japan election may influence global interest rates

The Japan election could have consequences for the future leadership of the Bank of Japan and the country's impact on global interest rate trends.

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Using and enhancing ESG investment data

Using and enhancing ESG investment data

ESG data is having investment impact but is still evolving, and stands to benefit from feedback offered by fundamental analysts.

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Value benefits from an expanding economy

Value benefits from an expanding economy

Value stocks have lagged the market in 2017, but if the economy continues to expand, rates rise, and the yield curve steepens, this trend could reverse.

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Spotting unexpected turns in the growth and value cycle

Spotting unexpected turns in the growth and value cycle

While a diversified portfolio should include both growth and value, today’s valuations and economy point to a value cycle.

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Why investor pessimism may be a good sign

Why investor pessimism may be a good sign

Investor pessimism has historically proven to be reasonably effective as a contrarian investment signal, and market sentiment has plunged again this year.

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What two of the best recession signals say today

What two of the best recession signals say today

Two indicators can give the quickest read on whether a recession may be near.

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Why Brazil's crisis creates new concerns

Why Brazil's crisis creates new concerns

The revelations of May 17 may pose a threat to President Temer's administration, and therefore a threat to Brazil's short- and medium-term economic outlook.

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Crisis abated, it’s time to dust off the old playbook

Crisis abated, it’s time to dust off the old playbook

Today's pro-cyclical, rising rate environment has a playbook with historical precedent.

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The views and opinions expressed are those of the speaker, are subject to change with market conditions, and are not meant as investment advice.