Growth adjusts lower in April
SHORT-TERM TRENDGlobal growth slowed modestly in April, although Europe continued to improve.
In the U.S., a variety of confidence measures fell. In Japan, a reduction of the trade balance detracted. In the EU, improved manufacturing and retail sales data helped, as did readings of economic sentiment and manufacturing confidence.
LONG-TERM CYCLEThis six-year illustration captures GDP gyrations since the financial crisis.
Sept ’10–Dec ’13Global growth swings dramatically, under pressure from sovereign debt crises and darkening global growth prospects amid fitful recoveries.
Jan ’14–Oct ’16Global growth settles into a more subdued pattern of modestly disappointing results.
Source: Data as of April 30, 2017. We base our Global GDP Nowcast on a tailored methodology that captures daily data releases for the most essential growth characteristics for each of 25 countries — including purchasing managers’ index data, industrial production, retail sales data, labor market metrics, real estate price indexes, sentiment indicators, and numerous other factors. The mix of factors used for each market may change over time as new indicators become available from data sources or if certain factors become more, or less, predictive of economic growth.