Risk appetite stays positive
SHORT-TERM TREND
Investor sentiment was supported by global reopenings amid inflation worries
Risk
- U.S. technology and long-duration growth stocks underperformed the broader market.
- European and developed market equity indexes gained, but emerging markets lagged.
- U.S. Treasury yields were broadly stable.
- Fixed-income assets benefited from the rally in real rates, but inflation-linked securities outperformed.
- The U.S. dollar depreciated against major currencies.
- Commodities, including gold, energy, and agricultural goods, advanced.
LONG-TERM CYCLE
This 10-year illustration captures the cyclicality of investors' appetite for risk.
Sept–Nov '11
Eruption and subsequent clearing of concerns over EU sovereign debt crisis, U.S. debt ceiling, and fear of China hard landing drive major risk sell-off and rally.
March '16–Jan '18
Risk assets rally amid improving commodity prices, perceived stability in China's macro data, and expectations for gradualist Fed policy.
March '20–present
The coronavirus pandemic has created large swings in global risk appetite.
Source: Putnam. Data as May 31, 2021. To create the Global Risk Appetite Index, we weigh the monthly relative returns of 30 different asset classes over 3-month T-bills relative to the trailing 2-year volatility of each asset class. The higher the relative return and the lower the volatility, the greater the risk appetite; conversely, the lower the relative return and the higher the volatility, the stronger the risk aversion.