Explore research-driven analysis of evolving market themes


Green shoots in Japan's economy

Green shoots in Japan's economy

Japan's economy, the world's third largest, will likely accelerate in mid-2021 as vaccine rollouts gather steam.

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Mental health is a business issue: How companies are supporting their employees

Mental health is a business issue: How companies are supporting their employees

Companies are beginning to focus more on mental health at work, and some are offering a wider range of supportive and preventive care.

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U.S. consumers flush with cash could drive temporary inflation

U.S. consumers flush with cash could drive temporary inflation

An easing pandemic and rising consumption will buoy U.S. growth, and potentially inflation.

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Rising yields and mixed recoveries in emerging markets

Rising yields and mixed recoveries in emerging markets

The broad outlook for emerging markets has improved as vaccinations gather pace, but higher global interest rates will create headwinds.

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Oil prices rally as supply dwindles

Oil prices rally as supply dwindles

OPEC+ will be the key determinant for near-term oil prices as the outlook for global demand improves.

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Global economic recovery hinges on vaccine success

Global economic recovery hinges on vaccine success

Vaccine supply and efficacy rates will be important factors for a return to pre-pandemic global activity.

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New medicines and digital tools target mental health

New medicines and digital tools target mental health

In recent years, there have been several developments for treating mental health. These innovations — which come after decades of slower-paced advances — include novel drugs and digital offerings.

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Is inflation poised to return?

Is inflation poised to return?

We believe that pandemic-related bottlenecks have temporarily lifted U.S. inflation. Still, the underlying inflation trend is weak.

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Bond investors chase yields amid vaccine rollout

Bond investors chase yields amid vaccine rollout

Global financial markets trended higher during the fourth quarter, powered by the emergence of COVID-19 vaccines and continuing stimulus policies.

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China's economy pulls ahead

China's economy pulls ahead

China’s economy is rebounding and the virus spread remains mostly under control.

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U.K. starts new chapter after EU split

U.K. starts new chapter after EU split

It is strategic for the U.K. to have a trade deal with the EU given the short- and long-term negative effects of Brexit.

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The market’s potential sugar high

The market’s potential sugar high

Amid a likely tug-of-war between positive and negative economic news, we favor investing with a flexible approach.

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Vaccine-led recovery could boost emerging markets

Vaccine-led recovery could boost emerging markets

The pace of economic recovery will differ among emerging markets, depending on COVID-19 vaccines and virus trends

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Vaccine not in time for jobs recovery

Vaccine not in time for jobs recovery

The U.S. labor market continues to lose steam as fewer Americans were able to find work amid surging Covid-19 cases.

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Oil markets pin hope on vaccine and OPEC+

Oil markets pin hope on vaccine and OPEC+

Oil prices are likely to trend slightly higher as OPEC+ mulls maintaining lower output in 2021 and demand recovers in key markets such as China.

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Calls for new stimulus as recovery fizzles

Calls for new stimulus as recovery fizzles

Governments are trying to calibrate their policies to support growth as “fiscal cliffs” loom amid a resurgence in the virus.

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Post-election option markets show uncertainty for new reasons

Post-election option markets show uncertainty for new reasons

Two weeks after Election Day, we believe the markets have a lot more clarity, but options markets reveal uncertainty.

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U.S. politics amid virus surge

U.S. politics amid virus surge

U.S. election politics are playing out against a backdrop of an easing recovery, rising COVID-19 cases, and a potential new vaccine.

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China leads, other emerging markets lag

China leads, other emerging markets lag

China is leading the economic recovery among emerging-market countries, buoyed by stimulus and stringent COVID-19 measures.

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Pandemic persists in policy patchwork

Pandemic persists in policy patchwork

Fiscal and monetary policies will be central to the economic recovery between now and the availability of a COVID-19 vaccine.

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U.S. economy remains a centerpiece in 2020 vote

U.S. economy remains a centerpiece in 2020 vote

Fiscal policy will be a key focus for investors after the November election.

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The global economy and the race for a vaccine

The global economy and the race for a vaccine

The development of a vaccine will play a role in shaping the global economic comeback in 2021.

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Keeping Japan's economy afloat after Abe

Keeping Japan's economy afloat after Abe

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's resignation raises questions about the future of Abenomics and reform in Japan.

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The Fed’s flexible new policy

The Fed’s flexible new policy

The Fed announced a shift in its approach to monetary policy and the new strategy can be viewed as a flexible form of average inflation targeting.

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The future is happening faster now

The future is happening faster now

We rarely see as much disruption as we have seen in 2020, and we believe this offers investment opportunities.

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Deglobalization creates new winners in China

Deglobalization creates new winners in China

The trade war, pandemic, and the Made in China 2025 initiative are resulting in a deglobalization trend and opportunities in China.

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Staying at home increases spending on homes

Staying at home increases spending on homes

As the economy continues to be challenged by the COVID-19 pandemic, we are seeing two notable trends in the U.S. housing industry.

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V-shaped recovery proving elusive

V-shaped recovery proving elusive

The U.S. and global economic recoveries are unlikely to be “V-shaped” as businesses and consumers remain wary of returning to pre-pandemic behavior.

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Vaccine is a wild card for the economy

Vaccine is a wild card for the economy

A vaccine for the coronavirus will be supportive of risky assets even if the economic benefits take longer to materialize.

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Risk sentiment swings with Fed tapering

Risk sentiment swings with Fed tapering

Without a proactive Fed, the rally in risk assets would be in trouble.

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Europe displays rare unity over relief fund

Europe displays rare unity over relief fund

In a step toward closer ties, European Union leaders plan to discuss a recovery fund for countries hardest hit by the pandemic.

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Company diversity and social justice

Company diversity and social justice

Company diversity is a step toward equity and equity is a step toward inclusion, which is important to company success.

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U.S.–China war of words playbook

U.S.–China war of words playbook

The politics of the U.S.–China relationship have clearly become more complicated recently. The war of words over China’s handling of the coronavirus outbreak and the proposed new Hong Kong security law has the potential to create headwinds for the global economy and financial markets.

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Disruptive change: A growth driver for small companies

Disruptive change: A growth driver for small companies

Disruptive change is often the force that enables small companies to compete against their larger peers.

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Navigating market turmoil: Our intrinsic value compass

Navigating market turmoil: Our intrinsic value compass

Our investments in the communications sector help illustrate our intrinsic value approach to finding opportunities.

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U.S. economic fog lifts slightly

U.S. economic fog lifts slightly

It is encouraging that some stabilization has started in the United States and the economic data fog is lifting just a little; but we forecast a low probability of a "V-shaped" recovery.

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Sustainability research: A week in the life of our team

Sustainability research: A week in the life of our team

Our research includes discussions with company managements, other researchers and investors, industry and subject experts, and non-profit organizations.

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Behavioral shifts bring potential investment opportunities

Behavioral shifts bring potential investment opportunities

Many businesses that have been resilient and strong during the COVID-19 crisis are likely to become even stronger in the aftermath.

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Coronavirus tests limits of U.S. stimulus plans

Coronavirus tests limits of U.S. stimulus plans

The pandemic is testing the policy responses from the Federal Reserve and Congress to boost the U.S. economy and calm financial markets.

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Sustainable value: Gender diversity on corporate boards

Sustainable value: Gender diversity on corporate boards

Diversity in companies — including gender diversity — can have a positive impact on company performance and strategic ability.

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Stumbling toward a fiscal equilibrium in the eurozone

Stumbling toward a fiscal equilibrium in the eurozone

The economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic in Europe will be severe amid efforts by policymakers, including the ECB, to cushion the blow.

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Bracing for a slow U.S. recovery

Bracing for a slow U.S. recovery

U.S. economic recovery will likely be slow and halting as coronavirus health risks cast a shadow on demand.

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ESG issues alive in healthcare

ESG issues alive in healthcare

Our team analyzes medical costs and access as ESG issues affecting human well-being and sustainable economic development.

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Perspectives on COVID-19

Perspectives on COVID-19

Putnam’s health-care analysts and portfolio managers offer their outlooks and perspectives on key aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Oil’s wild ride and what lies ahead

Oil’s wild ride and what lies ahead

Demand for oil has collapsed as the coronavirus pandemic devastates the global economy and curbs much of the need for fuel from companies and consumers.

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Navigating bond yields

Navigating bond yields

The trajectory of bonds yields will depend on the Federal Reserve's policies and fiscal stimulus amid a sharp global economic downturn.

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Investing for growth in volatile markets

Investing for growth in volatile markets

Putnam portfolio managers discuss managing risk and finding investment opportunities in challenging markets.

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Social distancing generates recession

Social distancing generates recession

A recession is looming in the U.S. as COVID-19 and social distancing take a toll on economic activity.

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Equity opportunities in challenging markets

Equity opportunities in challenging markets

Putnam’s equity investment professionals recently discussed market conditions, Putnam strategies, and their outlooks.

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Manager insights: Bulls, bears, and bond markets

Manager insights: Bulls, bears, and bond markets

With the extreme swings in the market over the past few weeks, several of Putnam’s senior fixed-income managers shared their insights on the bond markets

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Manager insights on current volatility

Manager insights on current volatility

Putnam Investments hosted a webcast featuring insights on current volatility and the COVID-19 pandemic from three senior investment managers.

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Slowing the spread of Covid-19 entails economic disruption

Slowing the spread of Covid-19 entails economic disruption

The global economic outlook has deteriorated because of the coronavirus pandemic and rising supply and demand disruptions.

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The Fed reacts to coronavirus economic risks

The Fed reacts to coronavirus economic risks

The Fed made a proactive move to reduce the federal funds rate by 50 basis points.

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The impact of coronavirus on markets

The impact of coronavirus on markets

The spread of coronavirus infections is having an impact on China’s GDP and on financial market sentiment worldwide.

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Is another round of Fed rate cuts looming?

Is another round of Fed rate cuts looming?

The Federal Reserve may lower its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points in 2020 if sustained financial market stress affects economic activity.

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Solutions to antibiotic resistance

Solutions to antibiotic resistance

As the focus on natural ingredients intensifies, so has concern about antibiotic use in food production.

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Waiting for the next wave of growth

Waiting for the next wave of growth

We believe the global economy will continue to bounce around the current growth pace. Trade, manufacturing, and oil, along with geopolitical risks, will play a role in determining the trajectory.

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China's economy braces for fallout from coronavirus

China's economy braces for fallout from coronavirus

There will be some temporary disruption to economic activity in China and elsewhere from the coronavirus outbreak.

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Bond yields in early 2020 likely to stay range bound

Bond yields in early 2020 likely to stay range bound

Bond yields will likely stay range bound in early 2020 as the economy shifts to a lower gear and central banks shift to neutral.

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Will the improving housing market further divide the Fed?

Will the improving housing market further divide the Fed?

The Fed remains divided on the trajectory of interest rates; a pick up in U.S. housing activity may increase this division.

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Talking sustainability with CEOs

Talking sustainability with CEOs

We have ongoing dialogue with the management teams of companies in which we invest, across a wide range of sustainability-related topics.

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An inverted yield curve: Recession or stagnation?

An inverted yield curve: Recession or stagnation?

The Treasury yield curve briefly inverted in August, rattling markets with the possibility of a recession.

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July rate cut: “Insurance” policy or recession guard?

July rate cut: “Insurance” policy or recession guard?

The Fed cut interest rates to protect growth from downside risks and described the move as a mid-cycle adjustment to policy, or a so-called “insurance” cut.

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Trade war fallout can hurt risky assets

Trade war fallout can hurt risky assets

The simmering trade war between the United States and China is expected to continue, and could put the economy at risk.

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Implications of the Huawei export ban

Implications of the Huawei export ban

With Huawei blocked by the U.S. Commerce Department from buying U.S. technology, we discuss ramifications on the technology sector and how the ban may end.

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Trade tensions could reduce global GDP

Trade tensions could reduce global GDP

There is a significant likelihood that U.S.-China trade tensions will remain high. Effects on global GDP effects are uncertain, but could exceed 1%.

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The views and opinions expressed are those of the speaker, are subject to change with market conditions, and are not meant as investment advice.